Strategy for Basketball and Volleyball
Darts strategy
Strategy for Football and Hockey
To begin with, do you know what Double Exodus is?
A double outcome is when we bet immediately on a draw and on the team's victory, and if there is a draw or a victory, then our bet will work!
After in the league, we select our match, click on the "More" button and select
3) You also need to bet the floor of the bank
Express: Express should not consist of more than 3 events, otherwise the chance of losing increases!
Betfair betting strategy
Betfair is currently the largest betting platform where millions of players from all over the world place bets.
The main difference between Betfair and any bookmaker is the absence of the bookmaker's margin as such, which is included in the odds. And there is no bookmaker itself on Betfair, the entire line and odds are created by the players themselves. Any player can act as a bookmaker by placing bets against some outcome.
Betfair positions itself as the most attractive office for players in terms of odds. Every person who signs up with Betfair is confident that Betfair has the best odds. This actually attracts thousands of experienced and not so players from all over the world. It is on the game against not the most experienced players that my technique is designed.
The main sport for my method is hockey. Hockey is ideal for the system, which is why I will write below when considering in detail each sport. I also used tennis, snooker.
So, let's move on to the system itself ...
The fundamental principles of the methodology, mandatory for execution:
1) We only place bets on Betfair.
2) We place bets only on recommended sports (hockey, tennis, snooker). It can be used on other types, if there are serious prerequisites for this.
3) I recommend using marathonbet.com
4) Personal presence at the computer and constant monitoring of their rates, before calculating them (at least for inplay rates), is mandatory. Take care of a reliable internet.
5) It is advisable to watch live matches on TV (especially in the case of online bets, and there are most of them)
The principle is based on the activities of bookmakers, that is, it is necessary to accept bets from the players, making an appropriate bet with them. That is, to act as a bookmaker. This idea, in principle, is not new, I have seriously corrected it in terms of the possibilities of its application. On all my screenshots in the topic on MMGP, Against bets (according to the bookmaker's principle), which were accepted by me at a low coefficient. This is the most important thing to remember. For example, let's take a hockey match (it is on one of the screenshots): Traktor-Akbars. During the first break, in live, I made a request Against the victory of the Tractor, and against the Draw. The bookmaker Marathon was giving at that moment a coefficient of 2.42 for the victory of the Tractor, and 3.5 for a draw. I set the odds to 2.2 and 3.3, respectively. Before the beginning of the second period, the coefficient 2.2 for the victory of the Tractor was taken by someone “successfully”. There was no competition from other players. The maximum odds for Traktor to win at Betfair was 2.04. The match ended 2-6 in favor of Akbars. I did not bid Against Akbars' victory as the odds on Betfair were roughly equal to the odds on the Marathon.
I always try to set odds lower than the Marathon in order to maximize the bottom line and cover Betfair's 5% commission. Usually I set odds one tenth less than at the Marathon, with larger odds by two or three tenths. There were times when they accepted odds one point less than at the Marathon.
I did not watch this match (Traktor-Akbars) online on TV or the Internet. I was guided by the online Marathon. As soon as the first period ends, the first period account appears in parentheses next to the G / L account. I always allocate no more than 10 minutes for bets during a break in a hockey match, this is usually enough for at least one of my bets to be accepted. I will cancel all unpaired bets in 10 minutes. I do the same in the second break in those markets where no bets have been accepted.
Another example of a pre-inlay game:
Vanguard-SKA match (also on one of the screenshots). Before the start of the match, I made a request Against Draw with odds of 4.3 (at the Marathon they gave 4.7 for a draw). Before the match, someone “successfully” accepted this bet. During the first break, when the score was 2-0, I placed two orders in the Goals in Regular Time market. They took one of them halfway from me, with a coefficient of 1.78 they took Less than 5.5 goals (at the Marathon they gave 1.88 for such an outcome). The match ended 5-3 in favor of the Vanguard.
Now I will explain the preference for playing according to the methodology of hockey, tennis and snooker:
1) Hockey. This is a very suitable sport, and it is convenient to play live. A hockey game has 2 breaks, which helps a lot. You can submit bids twice online. If the order is not taken during the first break, you can use this market again during the second break. All hockey markets are system-playable. I think hockey is the most suitable type for betting according to the methodology.
2) Tennis. For tennis matches, I consider Game Betting to be a suitable market, as they are usually found in Grand Slam tournaments. You can also use the "First Set Winner", "Second Set Winner", "Total Games in Set" markets. At tennis matches, basically, it is possible only online according to the method. It is imperative to know the rules of tennis, especially the time of short breaks after the scores 2-1, 3-2, 4-3, 5-4, etc. Betting can be accepted during these intervals. Watching the match on TV is desirable. Watching on TV is required on the Game Betting market.
3) Snooker. For snooker matches, I consider "Betting on Frames" and "Outcome of the first four frames" as suitable markets. On the market "Betting by frames" viewing of the online broadcast is required. Why is this happening? Why do players place bets at 0.2-0.4 often and a whole unit of odds less than the bookmaker's. Many players believe that Betfair's odds are as big in the hockey markets as in football, for example. Many players only have an account with Betfair and have no choice. They are ready to bet on low odds online in a fit of excitement, or because of the desire to win back.
In conclusion, I would like to give some advice on the technique:
1) Do not worry if, for example, in two original markets, you have only one bet taken out of two. This is very common. The profit from this is not lost, you will still be in profit at the distance (due to the lowered coefficient), even if this bet does not work in your favor. At online hockey games, I do not wait for all 3 selections in the “Betting” market to be taken away from me, as soon as one selection is taken, I immediately cancel unpaired bets. There are seldom times, usually in the two source markets, where both ends are taken and I am in profit whatever the outcome. This is an ideal that is rarely found. 2) Always keep your bets in check, especially online. Do not allow unpaired bets during the period, etc. Cancel unpaired bets in time, this will allow you not to lose profit.
3) Start with small bets. Your liabilities should be no more than 5-7 percent of the current bank. Gradually, not immediately, increase your rates.
4) Try not to equate your odds with the Marathon odds, keep them as low as possible. Your profit depends on it.
5) You can independently find an office or offices by which you can navigate along with the Marathon. But be careful, the rules differ in each office. Mandatory for hockey, regular time admission rule excluding overtime.
6) Play the hockey markets at first, they are, in my opinion, the simplest and most stable in terms of profit. Most of the bets I made during the breaks of hockey matches, online. I advise you to start testing with playing during the breaks of hockey matches. In fact, my method is a mini bookmaker with low odds. Only you do not need to rent a room, rent a line, hire employees, pay taxes to the state. You do not need to be afraid that someone will win a large sum from you (as is the case with book offices), because you can always set a limit on rates (obligations) in each market that is convenient for you, and gradually increase this limit.
Addition
When selecting matches, cut off matches in which the back coefficient - the first one on which we bet fluctuates around 2.00 (I think the optimal odds are from 2.2 to 2.6). This is possible (2.00) in matches where the odds for the favorite are equal to 1.50. The consequence of such a bet may be a long rejection of the second closing bet. The closing coefficient of 1.90-2.10 is much faster and easier to buy than 1.7 or 1.6 possible in such a situation for obvious psychological reasons.
I do not recommend playing in the lower leagues of the top championships.
The other day we tested the system together with one of those who bought Athletic-Barcelona at the match. Initially, I was against it, but the client wanted to experiment, since he himself does not understand much else in order to understand this whole cuisine, as he put it.
Initially, the odds for the win of the leopard were 1.3. The fact that Barca will not miss was 2.02. That is, the conditions of the system were deliberately violated. My client took this coefficient, I followed it online, shortly before the starting whistle, someone posted a coefficient of 2.16, I myself could not resist and took it.
In a pair, the amount of bets on this market was about $ 12,000. (this is one of the decisive factors).
Literally 3 minutes after the starting whistle, our closing ratios of 1.7 (for the client) and 1.76 (for mine) were bought, making a profit.
The question is why did this happen? In my opinion, 2 factors played here:
1. The market was saturated in the pair was about 12000 USD.
2. The big name Barça played in our favor. A very important factor, the more famous the favorite team, the more people online play in this market, respectively, more people will play as we need.
Conclusion: experiments are possible, but you should not flirt.
The system is based on mathematical advantage. According to statistics, the winning from one bet is 20-25 percent of the bet amount, while the loss is possible in one of 20 cases, i.e. in 5% of cases.
Initial data of the system:
1. We only play on Betfair.
2. We play only football. It is necessary to select the leading European championships (England, Italy, Spain, France).
You can also use the Russian Premier League. It is necessary to exclude from the selection funny championships in Germany, Holland, Belgium, Austria, etc. You can use European cups and international matches of national teams.
3. Selection by coefficients is strictly necessary. The optimal choice is a home favorite with odds to win in the range of 1.5 to 1.7. Experiments are possible here, but very rare, for example, a strong away team (for example, Real in the example that will be indicated below).
4. Personal presence at the computer is required, since there is an inplay or online bet.
5. It is necessary to select according to the amount of bets entered into in this market. It must not be less than $ 1.500. Anything above this amount suits us. $ 1,500 or more must be placed in a pair of bets on this market at least 5 minutes before the start of the match. This is necessary in order for our second bet to be bought easily and without problems, without time delays. This point is mandatory for the system, it must be very strictly followed.
So, the system itself:
As mentioned above, you must select a home favorite match with odds on a clear win in the range of 1.5 to 1.7. Exceptions are possible in rare cases.
Let's look at a specific example:
Recently there was a Juventus-Genoa match. The odds for Juventus were 1.59.
Before the match, you must bet on "Juventus will not miss," let's say, $ 10. That is, stand FOR this outcome. The coefficient for this was 2.36. 10-15 minutes after the start of the match in the inplay, you must set the odds against in the area of 1.90 so that in any case it would be plus 2- 2.5 $. This coefficient can be set immediately after the start of the match. Since after the starting whistle, all odds are reset and new odds are accepted only online. On the 15-16th minute of the match, Juventus was leading 1-0 and this coefficient (1.90) was easily sold for me. That is, at both ends it was about $ 2.40. At about 30 minutes, Genoa leveled the score, making a profit.
An example of the second (which I talked about in the topic about the Champions League match, there was a small experiment here):
The Lyon-Real match, as you probably already know, ended 0-2 in Real Madrid's favor. Before the match, Real Madrid had a coefficient of 1.67. As you probably already guessed before the match, I put a $ 10 bet for "Real will not pass". The odds were 2.52. I figured out how much I need to bet and by what ratio in order to be in the black anyway. At first there was little competition from a similar, apparently to me, player. He put up for sale about $ 120 at odds of 2.24. His coefficient was bought in about the 5th minute of the match completely. After that I set my odds to 2.04 (Against "Real will not concede"). They didn't buy it until 7-8 minutes, so I decided to play a little with the odds, set 2.10. With this coefficient, I got a profit in any case, $ 2 or 20% of the bet.
There is practically no competition in this market. After the start of the match, all the coefficients are reset to zero, and the game is online, which also helps. Also, the odds are reset to zero after any goal, or removal, which is very important, you can miss if you are not online. Why is the odds of 1.90 or 2.10, which allows us to easily win 20-25 percent of the bet, is easily accepted? I think this comes from the fact that by the 10-15th minute of the match, many players think this is the optimal decision, rather than, for example, taking a low coefficient for the victory of the favorite (the favorite can already lead by that time), and the coefficient 1.90 or 2.10 itself is not low.
Now let's turn to statistics and probability theory:
The probability of a goal in the first 15 minutes of a match is about 13%. Both teams are counted here. With our initial odds, let's say 1.59 per Favorite, the probability of a goal from the away team in the first 15 minutes is approximately 5%. From this we can conclude that the bet loses approximately once in 20 cases. While the income is approximately 20-25 percent of the rate. Which is a mathematical advantage, and consistently profitable. This, in fact, is the essence of the system.
Start with small bets.
- You need to bet on odds not higher than 1.20;
- Under coefficient, the limit should be higher than 50,000, this is for your team, for the opposite one, no higher than 7000 (For BC Leon);
- In Basketball, the NBA is ruled out because it is extremely unstable!
- You need to bet half of the entire Bank, since the losses will be 30-40 times.
Darts strategy
- Coefficient not higher than 1.25;
- Under coefficient, the limit must be above 50,000, this is for your team, for the opposite one, no more than 7,000 (For BC Leon);
- You need to bet half of the entire Bank.
Strategy for Football and Hockey
To begin with, do you know what Double Exodus is?
A double outcome is when we bet immediately on a draw and on the team's victory, and if there is a draw or a victory, then our bet will work!
- You need to bet 1x and x2 ;
- The odds on a double outcome should not exceed 1.20.
After in the league, we select our match, click on the "More" button and select
3) You also need to bet the floor of the bank
Express: Express should not consist of more than 3 events, otherwise the chance of losing increases!
Betfair betting strategy
Betfair is currently the largest betting platform where millions of players from all over the world place bets.
The main difference between Betfair and any bookmaker is the absence of the bookmaker's margin as such, which is included in the odds. And there is no bookmaker itself on Betfair, the entire line and odds are created by the players themselves. Any player can act as a bookmaker by placing bets against some outcome.
Betfair positions itself as the most attractive office for players in terms of odds. Every person who signs up with Betfair is confident that Betfair has the best odds. This actually attracts thousands of experienced and not so players from all over the world. It is on the game against not the most experienced players that my technique is designed.
The main sport for my method is hockey. Hockey is ideal for the system, which is why I will write below when considering in detail each sport. I also used tennis, snooker.
So, let's move on to the system itself ...
The fundamental principles of the methodology, mandatory for execution:
1) We only place bets on Betfair.
2) We place bets only on recommended sports (hockey, tennis, snooker). It can be used on other types, if there are serious prerequisites for this.
3) I recommend using marathonbet.com
4) Personal presence at the computer and constant monitoring of their rates, before calculating them (at least for inplay rates), is mandatory. Take care of a reliable internet.
5) It is advisable to watch live matches on TV (especially in the case of online bets, and there are most of them)
The principle is based on the activities of bookmakers, that is, it is necessary to accept bets from the players, making an appropriate bet with them. That is, to act as a bookmaker. This idea, in principle, is not new, I have seriously corrected it in terms of the possibilities of its application. On all my screenshots in the topic on MMGP, Against bets (according to the bookmaker's principle), which were accepted by me at a low coefficient. This is the most important thing to remember. For example, let's take a hockey match (it is on one of the screenshots): Traktor-Akbars. During the first break, in live, I made a request Against the victory of the Tractor, and against the Draw. The bookmaker Marathon was giving at that moment a coefficient of 2.42 for the victory of the Tractor, and 3.5 for a draw. I set the odds to 2.2 and 3.3, respectively. Before the beginning of the second period, the coefficient 2.2 for the victory of the Tractor was taken by someone “successfully”. There was no competition from other players. The maximum odds for Traktor to win at Betfair was 2.04. The match ended 2-6 in favor of Akbars. I did not bid Against Akbars' victory as the odds on Betfair were roughly equal to the odds on the Marathon.
I always try to set odds lower than the Marathon in order to maximize the bottom line and cover Betfair's 5% commission. Usually I set odds one tenth less than at the Marathon, with larger odds by two or three tenths. There were times when they accepted odds one point less than at the Marathon.
I did not watch this match (Traktor-Akbars) online on TV or the Internet. I was guided by the online Marathon. As soon as the first period ends, the first period account appears in parentheses next to the G / L account. I always allocate no more than 10 minutes for bets during a break in a hockey match, this is usually enough for at least one of my bets to be accepted. I will cancel all unpaired bets in 10 minutes. I do the same in the second break in those markets where no bets have been accepted.
Another example of a pre-inlay game:
Vanguard-SKA match (also on one of the screenshots). Before the start of the match, I made a request Against Draw with odds of 4.3 (at the Marathon they gave 4.7 for a draw). Before the match, someone “successfully” accepted this bet. During the first break, when the score was 2-0, I placed two orders in the Goals in Regular Time market. They took one of them halfway from me, with a coefficient of 1.78 they took Less than 5.5 goals (at the Marathon they gave 1.88 for such an outcome). The match ended 5-3 in favor of the Vanguard.
Now I will explain the preference for playing according to the methodology of hockey, tennis and snooker:
1) Hockey. This is a very suitable sport, and it is convenient to play live. A hockey game has 2 breaks, which helps a lot. You can submit bids twice online. If the order is not taken during the first break, you can use this market again during the second break. All hockey markets are system-playable. I think hockey is the most suitable type for betting according to the methodology.
2) Tennis. For tennis matches, I consider Game Betting to be a suitable market, as they are usually found in Grand Slam tournaments. You can also use the "First Set Winner", "Second Set Winner", "Total Games in Set" markets. At tennis matches, basically, it is possible only online according to the method. It is imperative to know the rules of tennis, especially the time of short breaks after the scores 2-1, 3-2, 4-3, 5-4, etc. Betting can be accepted during these intervals. Watching the match on TV is desirable. Watching on TV is required on the Game Betting market.
3) Snooker. For snooker matches, I consider "Betting on Frames" and "Outcome of the first four frames" as suitable markets. On the market "Betting by frames" viewing of the online broadcast is required. Why is this happening? Why do players place bets at 0.2-0.4 often and a whole unit of odds less than the bookmaker's. Many players believe that Betfair's odds are as big in the hockey markets as in football, for example. Many players only have an account with Betfair and have no choice. They are ready to bet on low odds online in a fit of excitement, or because of the desire to win back.
In conclusion, I would like to give some advice on the technique:
1) Do not worry if, for example, in two original markets, you have only one bet taken out of two. This is very common. The profit from this is not lost, you will still be in profit at the distance (due to the lowered coefficient), even if this bet does not work in your favor. At online hockey games, I do not wait for all 3 selections in the “Betting” market to be taken away from me, as soon as one selection is taken, I immediately cancel unpaired bets. There are seldom times, usually in the two source markets, where both ends are taken and I am in profit whatever the outcome. This is an ideal that is rarely found. 2) Always keep your bets in check, especially online. Do not allow unpaired bets during the period, etc. Cancel unpaired bets in time, this will allow you not to lose profit.
3) Start with small bets. Your liabilities should be no more than 5-7 percent of the current bank. Gradually, not immediately, increase your rates.
4) Try not to equate your odds with the Marathon odds, keep them as low as possible. Your profit depends on it.
5) You can independently find an office or offices by which you can navigate along with the Marathon. But be careful, the rules differ in each office. Mandatory for hockey, regular time admission rule excluding overtime.
6) Play the hockey markets at first, they are, in my opinion, the simplest and most stable in terms of profit. Most of the bets I made during the breaks of hockey matches, online. I advise you to start testing with playing during the breaks of hockey matches. In fact, my method is a mini bookmaker with low odds. Only you do not need to rent a room, rent a line, hire employees, pay taxes to the state. You do not need to be afraid that someone will win a large sum from you (as is the case with book offices), because you can always set a limit on rates (obligations) in each market that is convenient for you, and gradually increase this limit.
Addition
When selecting matches, cut off matches in which the back coefficient - the first one on which we bet fluctuates around 2.00 (I think the optimal odds are from 2.2 to 2.6). This is possible (2.00) in matches where the odds for the favorite are equal to 1.50. The consequence of such a bet may be a long rejection of the second closing bet. The closing coefficient of 1.90-2.10 is much faster and easier to buy than 1.7 or 1.6 possible in such a situation for obvious psychological reasons.
I do not recommend playing in the lower leagues of the top championships.
The other day we tested the system together with one of those who bought Athletic-Barcelona at the match. Initially, I was against it, but the client wanted to experiment, since he himself does not understand much else in order to understand this whole cuisine, as he put it.
Initially, the odds for the win of the leopard were 1.3. The fact that Barca will not miss was 2.02. That is, the conditions of the system were deliberately violated. My client took this coefficient, I followed it online, shortly before the starting whistle, someone posted a coefficient of 2.16, I myself could not resist and took it.
In a pair, the amount of bets on this market was about $ 12,000. (this is one of the decisive factors).
Literally 3 minutes after the starting whistle, our closing ratios of 1.7 (for the client) and 1.76 (for mine) were bought, making a profit.
The question is why did this happen? In my opinion, 2 factors played here:
1. The market was saturated in the pair was about 12000 USD.
2. The big name Barça played in our favor. A very important factor, the more famous the favorite team, the more people online play in this market, respectively, more people will play as we need.
Conclusion: experiments are possible, but you should not flirt.
The system is based on mathematical advantage. According to statistics, the winning from one bet is 20-25 percent of the bet amount, while the loss is possible in one of 20 cases, i.e. in 5% of cases.
Initial data of the system:
1. We only play on Betfair.
2. We play only football. It is necessary to select the leading European championships (England, Italy, Spain, France).
You can also use the Russian Premier League. It is necessary to exclude from the selection funny championships in Germany, Holland, Belgium, Austria, etc. You can use European cups and international matches of national teams.
3. Selection by coefficients is strictly necessary. The optimal choice is a home favorite with odds to win in the range of 1.5 to 1.7. Experiments are possible here, but very rare, for example, a strong away team (for example, Real in the example that will be indicated below).
4. Personal presence at the computer is required, since there is an inplay or online bet.
5. It is necessary to select according to the amount of bets entered into in this market. It must not be less than $ 1.500. Anything above this amount suits us. $ 1,500 or more must be placed in a pair of bets on this market at least 5 minutes before the start of the match. This is necessary in order for our second bet to be bought easily and without problems, without time delays. This point is mandatory for the system, it must be very strictly followed.
So, the system itself:
As mentioned above, you must select a home favorite match with odds on a clear win in the range of 1.5 to 1.7. Exceptions are possible in rare cases.
Let's look at a specific example:
Recently there was a Juventus-Genoa match. The odds for Juventus were 1.59.
Before the match, you must bet on "Juventus will not miss," let's say, $ 10. That is, stand FOR this outcome. The coefficient for this was 2.36. 10-15 minutes after the start of the match in the inplay, you must set the odds against in the area of 1.90 so that in any case it would be plus 2- 2.5 $. This coefficient can be set immediately after the start of the match. Since after the starting whistle, all odds are reset and new odds are accepted only online. On the 15-16th minute of the match, Juventus was leading 1-0 and this coefficient (1.90) was easily sold for me. That is, at both ends it was about $ 2.40. At about 30 minutes, Genoa leveled the score, making a profit.
An example of the second (which I talked about in the topic about the Champions League match, there was a small experiment here):
The Lyon-Real match, as you probably already know, ended 0-2 in Real Madrid's favor. Before the match, Real Madrid had a coefficient of 1.67. As you probably already guessed before the match, I put a $ 10 bet for "Real will not pass". The odds were 2.52. I figured out how much I need to bet and by what ratio in order to be in the black anyway. At first there was little competition from a similar, apparently to me, player. He put up for sale about $ 120 at odds of 2.24. His coefficient was bought in about the 5th minute of the match completely. After that I set my odds to 2.04 (Against "Real will not concede"). They didn't buy it until 7-8 minutes, so I decided to play a little with the odds, set 2.10. With this coefficient, I got a profit in any case, $ 2 or 20% of the bet.
There is practically no competition in this market. After the start of the match, all the coefficients are reset to zero, and the game is online, which also helps. Also, the odds are reset to zero after any goal, or removal, which is very important, you can miss if you are not online. Why is the odds of 1.90 or 2.10, which allows us to easily win 20-25 percent of the bet, is easily accepted? I think this comes from the fact that by the 10-15th minute of the match, many players think this is the optimal decision, rather than, for example, taking a low coefficient for the victory of the favorite (the favorite can already lead by that time), and the coefficient 1.90 or 2.10 itself is not low.
Now let's turn to statistics and probability theory:
The probability of a goal in the first 15 minutes of a match is about 13%. Both teams are counted here. With our initial odds, let's say 1.59 per Favorite, the probability of a goal from the away team in the first 15 minutes is approximately 5%. From this we can conclude that the bet loses approximately once in 20 cases. While the income is approximately 20-25 percent of the rate. Which is a mathematical advantage, and consistently profitable. This, in fact, is the essence of the system.
Start with small bets.
